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4

Wellwhatshappenin

4yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 58

Leopardstown · Carnival de Leop Handicap (0-60) · 7f 42y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended 2025 in good form (won off 3-month break on stable debut at Dundalk in October). Perhaps needed the run more than expected in first-time cheekpieces (now removed) on return there in March. Could be competitive if translating his best form to turf.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 05/10/2024 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 1315/10C8C8 @ Curragh 17/10/2024 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m Yie 126BHA62 @ Dundalk 31/01/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 62 · 7f Std 135 · below its mark31/01/2025 · OR 62 par31/0162OR 62BHA58 @ Naas 05/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 58 · 1m2f84y Goo 138 · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 58 parBHA56 @ Navan 13/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 56 · 1m2f40y Goo 131 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 56 par13/0756OR 56BHA54 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 54 · 7f Std 134 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 54 parBHA59 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 59 · 7f Std 140 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 59 par5/1159OR 59BHA59 @ Dundalk 05/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 59 · 1m Std 140 · beat its mark05/12/2025 · OR 59 parBHA60 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 60 · 7f Std 142 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 60 par20/0360OR 60projClass-projected finish: 10th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-20DundalkBHA6013th13th0
2025-12-05DundalkBHA593rd3rd0
2025-11-05DundalkBHA592nd2nd0
2025-10-17DundalkBHA541st1st0
2025-07-13NavanBHA564th4th0
2025-07-05NaasBHA588th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/105/075/1120/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength59%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/202412th200/10%15%+0.15
17/10/202412th150/10%8%+0.08
31/01/202510th40/10%31%+0.31
05/07/20258th40/10%42%+0.42
13/07/20254th250/10%0%0.00
17/10/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
05/11/20252nd5/174%92%+0.19
05/12/20253rd85/4089%85%-0.04
20/03/202613th9/276%8%-0.69