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25

Cleopatra's Needle

8yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 50

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#11

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Underperformed in this sphere last month but posted good fourth of 20 in handicap hurdle at Galway (2m, good to soft, 22/1) since and is not discounted. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA52 @ Leopardstown 12/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 52 · 1m1f Sft 136 · beat its mark12/06/2025 · OR 52 par12/0652OR 52BHA50 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 50 · 7f211y Goo 132 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 50 parBHA50 @ Leopardstown 10/07/2025 · Pos 18th of 20 · OR 50 · 1m1f GF 132 · beat its mark10/07/2025 · OR 50 par10/0750OR 50BHA98 @ Galway 30/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 98 · 2m110y Gd 140 · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 98 parBHA48 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 48 · 1m Goo 130 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 48 par12/0448OR 48BHA110 @ Bellewstown 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 110 · 2m1f30y Yie 157 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 110 parBHA50 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 50 · 1m2f96y Sft 132 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 50 par20/0650OR 50BHA50 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 50 · 1m2f40y Goo 132 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 50 parBHA109 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 109 · 2m110y Gd 150 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 109 par29/07109OR 109projClass-projected finish: 4th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29GalwayBHA1094th4th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA509th9th0
2026-06-20Down RoyalBHA502nd2nd0
2026-04-18BellewstownBHA1107th7th0
2026-04-12LeopardstownBHA482nd2nd0
2025-07-30GalwayBHA981st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0630/0720/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 24
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength23%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20255th11/271%60%-0.11
03/07/20252nd12/137%93%+0.56
10/07/202518th10/147%11%-0.37
30/07/20251st22/10%100%+1.00
12/04/20262nd12/137%95%+0.58
18/04/20267th15/261%33%-0.27
20/06/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12
11/07/20269th4/179%27%-0.52
29/07/20264th22/10%84%+0.84