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11

Comfort Line

9yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#8

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to winning ways at Dundalk in April and acquitted himself well since, latest when sixth of 14 in handicap (11/2) at this course (7f, good) 21 days ago. Back up in trip. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA60 @ Dundalk 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 60 · 7f Std 142 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 60 par13/0260OR 60BHA59 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 59 · 7f Std 141 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 59 parBHA59 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 59 · 7f Std 141 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 59 par27/0359OR 59BHA59 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m Std 141 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 59 parBHA58 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 20 · OR 58 · 1m Goo 140 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 58 par12/0458OR 58BHA60 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 60 · 1m Std 142 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 60 parBHA64 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 64 · 7f Gd 134 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 64 par4/0564OR 64BHA63 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 63 · 7f195y Gd 133 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 63 parBHA63 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 63 · 7f50y Goo 133 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 63 par16/0763OR 63projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA636th6th0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA635th5th0
2026-05-04CurraghBHA642nd2nd0
2026-04-23DundalkBHA601st1st0
2026-04-12LeopardstownBHA583rd3rd0
2026-04-01DundalkBHA594th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/021/044/0516/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength78%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 24. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/20265th16/116%67%+0.51
20/03/20262nd16/116%92%+0.77
27/03/202610th5/174%31%-0.43
01/04/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
12/04/20263rd12/137%89%+0.53
23/04/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
04/05/20262nd7/163%93%+0.30
03/07/20265th12/137%71%+0.35
16/07/20266th11/271%62%-0.10