20

Dancing Steve
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 58
Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA61 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Dundalk | BHA65 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | BHA66 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Dundalk | BHA68 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Down Royal | BHA69 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Curragh | BHA72 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 24
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 24.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 23/08/2025 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 05/09/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/09/2025 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 8% | -0.50 |
| 24/06/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/07/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 20/07/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |