20

Dancing Steve

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 58

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#7

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Navan last summer but ended the season out of sorts and has fared no better this summer. Visor back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA64 @ Dundalk 12/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 64 · 1m4f Std 134 · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 64 par12/0764OR 64BHA64 @ Navan 13/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 64 · 1m2f40y Goo 132 · beat its mark13/07/2025 · OR 64 par3 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 72 · 1m1f104y Std 120 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 72 par31/073OR 72BHA72 @ Curragh 23/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 72 · 1m4f Gd 135 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 72 parBHA69 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 69 · 1m2f145y Gd 139 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 69 par5/0969OR 69BHA68 @ Dundalk 26/09/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 68 · 1m2f150y Std 132 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 68 parBHA66 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 66 · 1m2f194y Gd 136 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 66 par24/0666OR 66BHA65 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 65 · 1m4f Std 138 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 65 parBHA61 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m1f135y Goo 132 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 61 par20/0761OR 61projClass-projected finish: 23rd of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA6110th10th0
2026-07-12DundalkBHA6510th10th0
2026-06-24NaasBHA6613th13th0
2025-09-26DundalkBHA6813th13th0
2025-09-05Down RoyalBHA6913th13th0
2025-08-23CurraghBHA7214th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0723/0824/0620/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 24
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20252nd13/266%92%+0.27
13/07/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
31/07/20256th8/158%58%+0.00
23/08/202514th9/153%0%-0.53
05/09/202513th16/116%0%-0.16
26/09/202513th8/158%8%-0.50
24/06/202613th50/10%14%+0.14
12/07/202610th20/10%10%+0.10
20/07/202610th18/15%18%+0.13