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Darkdeserthighway

8yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 62

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#15

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has registered 3 of her 4 wins at Dundalk and she was in good order there earlier in the year. Not at that level on turf but performed with credit when sixth of 16 in handicap (33/1) at Naas (7f, good) 3 days ago and ought to appreciate the return to this longer trip. Each-way claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA66 @ Gowran Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 66 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 66 par2/0966OR 66BHA68 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 68 · 7f Std 138 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 68 parBHA74 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 74 · 1m Std 136 · below its mark05/11/2025 · OR 74 par5/1174OR 74BHA74 @ Dundalk 19/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 74 · 7f Std 135 · below its mark19/12/2025 · OR 74 parBHA73 @ Dundalk 16/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 73 · 1m Std 133 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 73 par16/0173OR 73BHA72 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 72 · 1m Std 142 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 72 parBHA66 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 66 · 7f195y Gd 136 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 66 par3/0766OR 66C7 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 64 · 1m40y Gd 142 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 64 parBHA62 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 62 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 62 par3/0862OR 62projClass-projected finish: 8th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03NaasBHA626th6th0
2026-07-15Killarney?8th8th0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA6610th10th0
2026-03-13DundalkBHA723rd3rd0
2026-01-16DundalkBHA733rd3rd0
2025-12-19DundalkBHA745th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0919/123/073/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 24. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20255th12/137%73%+0.36
24/10/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
05/11/20257th17/255%25%-0.30
19/12/20255th25/10%67%+0.67
16/01/20263rd8/158%80%+0.22
13/03/20263rd4/179%85%+0.06
03/07/202610th14/126%36%+0.09
15/07/20268th22/10%46%+0.46
03/08/20266th33/10%67%+0.67