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19

Little Wing

3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 68

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#18

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

No impact in a trio of maidens but may improve now upped in trip for handicap debut, although her opening mark could have been kinder.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 9.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m Goo 12920/05C8C8 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR - · 1m Gd 12924/06C8C8 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 12911/07C8projClass-projected finish: 18th of 24
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Navan?11th11th0
2026-06-24Naas?9th9th0
2026-05-20Gowran Park?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0524/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish22nd of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 22nd of 24. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20269th50/10%43%+0.43
24/06/20269th150/10%56%+0.56
11/07/202611th80/10%17%+0.17