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6

Moyassr

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 65

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#14

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Good record at Dundalk (2 more wins in January) and struck at Fairyhouse in May. More miss than hit since, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA71 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 71 · 1m Std 141 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 71 par30/0171OR 71BHA77 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 77 · 1m Std 120 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 77 parBHA68 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 68 · 1m50y Yie 138 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 68 par25/0468OR 68BHA66 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 66 · 7f Gd 136 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 66 parBHA61 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 61 · 1m Gd 131 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 61 par15/0561OR 61BHA60 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 60 · 1m1f210y Gd 130 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA67 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 67 · 1m1f Sft 119 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 67 par11/0667OR 67BHA67 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 67 · 1m6f80y Gd 137 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 67 parBHA66 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR 66 · 1m123y Yie 136 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 66 par28/0766OR 66projClass-projected finish: 17th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28GalwayBHA6616th16th0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA676th6th0
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA675th5th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA601st1st0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA615th5th0
2026-05-04CurraghBHA6613th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/014/0511/0628/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
20/02/20265th11/271%67%-0.04
25/04/202612th12/137%15%-0.21
04/05/202613th18/15%14%+0.09
15/05/20265th17/255%71%+0.16
28/05/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
11/06/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
15/07/20266th14/126%50%+0.24
28/07/202616th33/10%6%+0.06