24
Nibras Rainbow
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 56
Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA57 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA52 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA50 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | BHA50 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | BHA46 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | BHA48 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 24. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.09 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 58% | -0.15 |
| 24/04/2026 | 16th | 20/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |