4

Quafftide

4yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 67

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced filly who posted good fourth of 16 in maiden (14/1) at Limerick (7f, soft) 48 days ago. Upped in trip for handicap debut and is worth monitoring in the market. Tongue strap on first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 23/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f Gd 12923/05C8C8 @ Naas 11/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m Yie 12911/10C8C8 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f35y Sft 13911/06C8C8 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 67 · 7f Sft 138 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 67 par19/06C8OR 67projClass-projected finish: 5th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Limerick?4th4th0
2026-06-11Leopardstown?4th4th0
2025-10-11Naas?11th11th0
2025-05-23Curragh?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0511/1011/0619/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 24
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 24. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20257th66/10%45%+0.45
11/10/202511th40/10%33%+0.33
11/06/20264th66/10%73%+0.73
19/06/20264th14/126%80%+0.54