2
Sinbad My Dad
5yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 69
Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | BHA70 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | BHA70 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Dundalk | BHA71 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Dundalk | BHA71 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Dundalk | BHA71 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Dundalk | BHA71 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 24. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 39% | +0.39 |
| 27/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 03/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 09/01/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |