14

Sonic Invader

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#13

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seven-race maiden who has been tried over longer trips in handicaps, latest when seventh of 11 at Killarney (1m6f) 22 days ago. Others make more appeal.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/03/2025 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR - · 1m Sft 13016/03C8C8 @ Curragh 29/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 7f Sft 13229/03C8C8 @ Navan 08/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m10y Gd 1328/04C8BHA65 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 23 · OR 65 · 1m2f40y Goo 135 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 65 par25/0465OR 65BHA64 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 64 · 1m5f170y Goo 136 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 64 par20/0564OR 64BHA64 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 64 · 2m40y Goo 133 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 64 par31/0564OR 64BHA63 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m6f80y Gd 133 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 63 par15/0763OR 63projClass-projected finish: 9th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA637th7th0
2026-05-31ListowelBHA643rd3rd0
2026-05-20Gowran ParkBHA643rd3rd0
2026-04-25NavanBHA6513th13th0
2025-04-08Navan?6th6th0
2025-03-29Curragh?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0325/0415/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 24
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength51%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 24. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/202516th33/10%12%+0.12
29/03/20257th125/10%63%+0.63
08/04/20256th150/10%55%+0.55
25/04/202613th14/126%45%+0.19
20/05/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
31/05/20263rd16/583%80%-0.03
15/07/20267th5/174%40%-0.34