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8

Star Mind

5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 65

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned to winning ways over C&D (soft) in April but nowhere near that form at this course the following month, reportedly bled. Can't be ruled out.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 69 · 1m Goo 135 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 69 par2/09C8OR 69BHA68 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 68 · 1m Std 138 · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 68 parBHA67 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 67 · 1m2f150y Std 137 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 67 par28/1167OR 67BHA64 @ Dundalk 17/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 64 · 1m2f150y Std 134 · below its mark17/12/2025 · OR 64 parBHA61 @ Dundalk 13/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 61 · 1m2f150y Std 131 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 61 par13/0261OR 61BHA59 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 59 · 1m2f150y Std 142 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 59 parBHA59 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m Std 141 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 59 par1/0459OR 59BHA57 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 57 · 1m1f Yie 146 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 57 parBHA66 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 66 · 1m2f Gd 126 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 66 par15/0566OR 66projClass-projected finish: 10th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA668th8th0
2026-04-15LeopardstownBHA571st1st0
2026-04-01DundalkBHA595th5th0
2026-03-27DundalkBHA593rd3rd0
2026-02-13DundalkBHA618th8th0
2025-12-17DundalkBHA6412th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0917/121/0415/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength56%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20255th11/486%60%-0.26
29/10/20259th33/10%38%+0.38
28/11/202512th50/10%15%+0.15
17/12/202512th40/10%15%+0.15
13/02/20268th66/10%30%+0.30
27/03/20263rd14/126%75%+0.49
01/04/20265th10/147%60%+0.13
15/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
15/05/20268th12/137%30%-0.07