1
Tachos
5yo Mare · 10-2 · OR 72
Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | BHA75 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA78 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | BHA82 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA83 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Dundalk | 1 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Navan | BHA84 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 24.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 10/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.37 |
| 08/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 07/11/2025 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 11/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/06/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.42 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |