15
Tanzanite Diamond
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 70
Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA72 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Navan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 24.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 125/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 81% | +0.65 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |