9

Tequila

4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#17

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still looking for first success and no signs of improvement on debut for new yard at Dundalk last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 17/04/2024 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f Gd 12817/0425 @ Wolverhampton 07/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f36y Std 1284 @ Yarmouth 22/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3y Sft 12822/1045 @ Leicester 26/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m53y Goo 127 · beat its mark26/05/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Newmarket 27/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 1m2f GF 134 · beat its mark27/06/2025 · OR 70 par27/065OR 705 @ Windsor 14/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 71 · 1m2f GF 132 · below its mark14/07/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Wolverhampton 02/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m1f105y Std 136 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 70 par2/095OR 705 @ Pontefract 25/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 69 · 1m4f5y GS 134 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 69 parC8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m2f150y Std 130 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 65 par12/07C8OR 65projClass-projected finish: 19th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Dundalk?4th4th0
2025-09-25Pontefract56th6th0
2025-09-02Wolverhampton59th9th0
2025-07-14Windsor55th5th0
2025-06-27Newmarket53rd3rd0
2025-05-26Leicester55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0426/052/0912/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 24
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength40%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 17th of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20248th15/261%42%-0.19
07/10/20244th4/179%70%-0.09
22/10/20244th9/153%57%+0.05
26/05/20255th6/168%43%-0.26
27/06/20253rd12/137%60%+0.23
14/07/20255th9/153%0%-0.53
02/09/20259th5/174%11%-0.63
25/09/20256th28/10%38%+0.38
12/07/20264th9/153%40%-0.13