23
The Holy Apostle
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 57
Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f
#23
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#23
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | BHA59 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA63 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA64 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | BHA67 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Curragh | BHA68 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Naas | BHA68 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish23rd of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 23rd of 24. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 28/06/2025 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 12/10/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 16th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |