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21

Werifesteria

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 66

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#16

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

No real impact in maidens but drops back in trip for handicap debut and is worth monitoring in the market.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f Std 12926/05C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f Goo 1291/07C8C8 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f65y Gd 12911/07C8projClass-projected finish: 20th of 24
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Limerick?7th7th0
2026-07-01Fairyhouse?8th8th0
2026-05-26Dundalk?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/051/0711/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 24
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 24. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
01/07/20268th66/10%36%+0.36
11/07/20267th125/10%25%+0.25