22

Wild Berries

3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 63

Leopardstown · Renault Ireland Handicap · 1m 1f

#21

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#21

Timeform

Commentary

Yet to trouble the judge and has been below best in both starts this term. Tries longer trip now but is hard to fancy.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 13/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f Gd 12813/06C8C5 @ Naas 04/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 21 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 1274/08C5C8 @ Naas 24/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f Goo 12724/08C8BHA72 @ Naas 18/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 72 · 1m Goo 140 · below its mark18/09/2025 · OR 72 par18/0972OR 72BHA68 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 68 · 6f63y Goo 138 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 68 par3/0668OR 68BHA67 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 67 · 7f Std 137 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 67 par12/0767OR 67projClass-projected finish: 16th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12DundalkBHA677th7th0
2026-06-03CurraghBHA6814th14th0
2025-09-18NaasBHA729th9th0
2025-08-24Naas?6th6th0
2025-08-04Naas?12th12th0
2025-06-13Cork?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/064/0824/0818/093/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish21st of 24
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 21st of 24. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20256th40/10%44%+0.44
04/08/202512th150/10%45%+0.45
24/08/20256th28/10%64%+0.64
18/09/20259th18/15%47%+0.41
03/06/202614th28/10%24%+0.24
12/07/20267th66/10%40%+0.40