3
Boxing Great
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 74
Leopardstown · Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA76 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Dundalk | BHA71 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Dundalk | BHA72 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Dundalk | BHA72 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 29/09/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.51 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |