IvyArcIvyArc
1

Chutzpal

7yo Gelding · 12-2 · OR 76

Leopardstown · Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

37%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed benefit of reappearance when fair fifth of 8 in minor event at Fairyhouse (1¾m, good) 29 days ago. Claims if building on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Cheltenham 15/11/2024 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 119 · 2m87y Goo 166 · below its mark15/11/2024 · OR 119 par15/113OR 119BHA71 @ Punchestown 03/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 19 · OR 71 · 2m Yie 177 · below its mark03/05/2025 · OR 71 parBHA70 @ Curragh 25/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 70 · 1m6f Gd 120 · below its mark25/05/2025 · OR 70 par25/0570OR 70BHA70 @ Curragh 27/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 70 · 1m4f Gd 130 · beat its mark27/06/2025 · OR 70 par3 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 70 · 1m5f219y Std 118 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 70 par31/073OR 70BHA70 @ Killarney 22/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 70 · 1m6f80y Gd 119 · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 70 par2 @ Newmarket 20/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 79 · 2m2f Gd 123 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 79 par20/092OR 79BHA79 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 24th of 24 · OR 79 · 1m6f Gd 129 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 79 parBHA78 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m5f200y Goo 130 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 78 par8/0778OR 78projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08FairyhouseBHA785th5th0
2026-05-24CurraghBHA7924th24th0
2025-09-20Newmarket22nd2nd0
2025-08-22KillarneyBHA701st1st0
2025-07-31Wolverhampton33rd3rd0
2025-06-27CurraghBHA703rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1127/0620/098/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength75%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/11/202410th16/116%36%+0.20
03/05/20257th3/184%67%-0.18
25/05/20257th8/158%68%+0.11
27/06/20253rd10/147%87%+0.39
31/07/20253rd11/271%82%+0.11
22/08/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
20/09/20252nd13/266%88%+0.22
24/05/202624th22/10%0%0.00
08/07/20265th4/179%43%-0.36