9
He Who Dares
5yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 60
Leopardstown · Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | BHA60 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA80 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA82 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA83 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Roscommon | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 04/08/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |
| 14/08/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 300/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/09/2025 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 30/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 09/06/2026 | 16th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |