8

Makaiah

5yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 61

Leopardstown · Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended 2025 out of sorts but back to form after 6 months off when second of 14 in handicap (17/2) at Roscommon (1½m, good) in May. Not in same form at Ballinrobe since but must enter calculations with top amateur on board.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA58 @ Gowran Park 21/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 58 · 2m100y Goo 146 · beat its mark21/05/2025 · OR 58 par21/0558OR 58BHA64 @ Limerick 11/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 64 · 2m1f Gd 134 · beat its mark11/06/2025 · OR 64 parBHA67 @ Tramore 08/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 67 · 2m Gd 131 · below its mark08/07/2025 · OR 67 par8/0767OR 67BHA67 @ Leopardstown 24/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m7f Goo 137 · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 67 parC9 @ Killarney 22/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m6f80y Gd 136 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 66 par22/08C9OR 666 @ Ayr 30/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 64 · 1m7f Sft 142 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 64 parBHA64 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 64 · 1m6f Yie 134 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 64 par16/1064OR 64BHA62 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 62 · 1m4f46y Gd 132 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 62 · 1m5f Yie 133 · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 62 par22/0662OR 62projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-22BallinrobeBHA6211th11th0
2026-05-11RoscommonBHA622nd2nd0
2025-10-16CurraghBHA6411th11th0
2025-09-30Ayr64th4th0
2025-08-22Killarney?6th6th0
2025-07-24LeopardstownBHA676th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0524/0716/1022/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20259th7/282%20%-0.62
11/06/20252nd10/147%90%+0.43
08/07/20254th11/486%57%-0.28
24/07/20256th5/174%38%-0.36
22/08/20256th10/147%55%+0.07
30/09/20254th9/153%63%+0.10
16/10/202511th22/10%44%+0.44
11/05/20262nd17/255%92%+0.37
22/06/202611th10/147%17%-0.31