8

Makaiah
5yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 61
Leopardstown · Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | BHA62 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA62 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Curragh | BHA64 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Ayr | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Leopardstown | BHA67 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 11/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 08/07/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 24/07/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 30/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 16/10/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 22/06/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |