6
Miss Gitana
5yo Mare · 11-3 · OR 63
Leopardstown · Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Leopardstown | BHA62 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA94 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | BHA63 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA65 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gowran Park | BHA67 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | BHA67 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 07/08/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 46% | -0.33 |
| 27/08/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 25/04/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 20/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 22/06/2026 | 13th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |