2

Not Just Any Eagle
7yo Gelding · 12-2 · OR 76
Leopardstown · Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | BHA76 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA80 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA82 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | BHA83 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Leopardstown | BHA84 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Listowel | BHA84 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 53% | +0.48 |
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 19/10/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.41 |
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/06/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 24% | +0.18 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |