2

Not Just Any Eagle

7yo Gelding · 12-2 · OR 76

Leopardstown · Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Third of 8 in a conditions race at Fairyhouse last month but took strong hold and was one paced. Not the easiest to win with these days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA82 @ Galway 30/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 82 · 2m110y Sft 142 · below its mark30/07/2025 · OR 82 par30/0782OR 82BHA82 @ Tramore 16/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 82 · 2m Goo 139 · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 82 parBHA81 @ Clonmel 11/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 81 · 2m144y Sft 131 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 81 par11/0981OR 81BHA84 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m3f15y Hvy 125 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 84 parBHA84 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 84 · 1m4f Hvy 130 · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 84 par19/1084OR 84BHA83 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m5f180y Sft 143 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 83 parBHA82 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 82 · 1m4f40y Yie 142 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 82 par1/0682OR 82BHA80 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 80 · 1m6f40y Goo 140 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 80 parBHA76 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 76 · 1m5f200y Goo 128 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 76 par8/0776OR 76projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08FairyhouseBHA763rd3rd0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA8014th14th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA827th7th0
2026-04-08Gowran ParkBHA8310th10th0
2025-10-19LeopardstownBHA849th9th0
2025-09-22ListowelBHA847th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0722/091/068/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20259th18/15%53%+0.48
16/08/20253rd6/168%78%+0.09
11/09/20252nd8/158%90%+0.32
22/09/20257th11/142%40%-0.02
19/10/20259th18/15%47%+0.41
08/04/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
01/06/20267th28/10%60%+0.60
12/06/202614th18/15%24%+0.18
08/07/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03