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10

Supreme Law

7yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 40

Leopardstown · Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who is easily passed over from 13 lb out of the handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA54 @ Leopardstown 19/05/2023 · Pos 4th of 21 · OR 54 · 1m4f Gd 131 · beat its mark19/05/2023 · OR 54 par19/0554OR 54BHA54 @ Fairyhouse 16/06/2023 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m4f Goo 131 · beat its mark16/06/2023 · OR 54 parBHA52 @ Tipperary 05/07/2023 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 52 · 1m4f120y Gd 129 · beat its mark05/07/2023 · OR 52 par5/0752OR 52BHA52 @ Bellewstown 07/07/2023 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 52 · 1m4f20y Goo 131 · beat its mark07/07/2023 · OR 52 parC8 @ Kilbeggan 21/07/2023 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f Sft 15321/07C8BHA46 @ Killarney 23/08/2024 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 46 · 2m180y Yie 158 · beat its mark23/08/2024 · OR 46 parBHA47 @ Curragh 05/10/2024 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 47 · 1m4f Gd 140 · beat its mark05/10/2024 · OR 47 par5/1047OR 47C8 @ Galway 30/07/2025 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 44 · 1m4f43y Yie 166 · below its mark30/07/2025 · OR 44 parBHA43 @ Leopardstown 07/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 43 · 1m7f Goo 147 · beat its mark07/08/2025 · OR 43 par7/0843OR 43projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-07LeopardstownBHA4310th10th0
2025-07-30Galway?14th14th0
2024-10-05CurraghBHA4714th14th0
2024-08-23KillarneyBHA465th5th0
2023-07-21Kilbeggan?11th11th0
2023-07-07BellewstownBHA5212th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/057/075/107/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength14%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20234th7/163%85%+0.22
16/06/20239th8/158%33%-0.25
05/07/202312th12/137%15%-0.21
07/07/202312th17/255%8%-0.47
21/07/202311th80/10%9%+0.09
23/08/20245th100/10%0%0.00
05/10/202414th150/10%7%+0.07
30/07/202514th300/10%24%+0.24
07/08/202510th150/10%10%+0.10