2

On Y Croit

5yo Colt · 9-13

Les Sables · Prix Stephane Leignel Handicap · 5f 212y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 22/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 12522/07C5C5 @ Deauville 25/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 125C5 @ Cholet 07/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f156y Hvy 1257/10C5C0 @ Deauville 13/12/2024 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Std 136C0 @ Saint-Cloud 25/03/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12325/03C?C0 @ Le Mans 03/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 131C5 @ La Teste De Buch 16/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 13016/06C54 @ ParisLongchamp 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1323 @ Vichy 20/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/073projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Vichy316th15th+1
2026-06-11ParisLongchamp44th4th0
2025-06-16La Teste De Buch?7th8th1
2025-05-03Le Mans?6th6th0
2025-03-25Saint-Cloud?12th12th0
2024-12-13Deauville?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0713/1216/0620/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength16%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20242nd7/282%86%+0.04
25/08/20247th4/179%33%-0.46
07/10/20244th9/153%57%+0.05
13/12/202414th14/126%7%-0.19
25/03/202512th20/10%27%+0.27
03/05/20256th7/163%29%-0.35
16/06/20257th9/276%33%-0.43
11/06/20264th25/10%75%+0.75
20/07/202616th20/10%0%0.00