2

On Y Croit
5yo Colt · 9-13
Les Sables · Prix Stephane Leignel Handicap · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Le Mans | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-25 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2024-12-13 | Deauville | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength16%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 25/08/2024 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 07/10/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 13/12/2024 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.19 |
| 25/03/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 16/06/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 20/07/2026 | 16th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |