5
Amiral D'aumont
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Les Sables · Prix Gilles Tartoue Stakes · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 18/11/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 27/12/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 19/04/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 05/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 22/05/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 9% | -0.44 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |