4
Grand Art
10yo Gelding · 8-11
Les Sables · Prix Gilles Tartoue Stakes · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-04 | Argentan | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2022-06-11 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2021 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 09/04/2022 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/05/2022 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 11/06/2022 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 04/06/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/06/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 21/07/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |