7
La Do Re
5yo Filly · 8-10
Les Sables · Prix Gilles Tartoue Stakes · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Nantes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.08 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 24/04/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |