8
Princesse Du Lys
6yo Mare · 8-8
Les Sables · Prix Gilles Tartoue Stakes · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 12/10/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 10/02/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.02 |
| 23/03/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |