1
Splendino
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Les Sables · Prix Gilles Tartoue Stakes · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength61%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/04/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 10/05/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 91% | +0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.13 |