3

Penny Grey's

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Les Sables · Prix Popof Maiden Stakes · 5f 212y

#2

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12323/03C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 11/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12811/04C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-11Bordeaux Le Bouscat?9th9th0
2026-03-23Mont De Marsan?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0311/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/20267th14/126%40%+0.14
11/04/20269th25/10%0%0.00