4

Regis Cambaceres

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Les Sables · Prix Popof Maiden Stakes · 5f 212y

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1285/05C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 15/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 127C5 @ Nantes 17/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 12017/06C5C5 @ Cholet 30/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f156y Gd 128C5 @ Chantilly 05/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 1235/09C5C5 @ Amiens 29/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m44y Hvy 1234 @ Le Croise-Laroche 04/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS4/044C0 @ Evreux 15/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 131C0 @ Clairefontaine 06/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1276/07C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Clairefontaine?9th9th0
2026-04-15Evreux?9th9th0
2026-04-04Le Croise-Laroche411th10th+1
2025-10-29Amiens?10th10th0
2025-09-05Chantilly?11th11th0
2025-06-30Cholet?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0530/064/046/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20257th10/147%0%-0.47
15/05/20256th22/10%0%0.00
17/06/20256th11/142%38%-0.05
30/06/20257th66/10%0%0.00
05/09/202511th40/10%17%+0.17
29/10/202510th22/10%0%0.00
04/04/202611th100/10%23%+0.23
15/04/20269th33/10%20%+0.20
06/07/20269th50/10%33%+0.33