2
Thiberville
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Les Sables · Prix Popof Maiden Stakes · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 10/10/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 18% | -0.24 |
| 08/01/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 30/01/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 15% | -0.40 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 12/07/2026 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |