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Violet Leduc

3yo Colt · 9-2

Les Sables · Prix Popof Maiden Stakes · 5f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 10/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y Hvy 12310/03C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12811/04C5C5 @ Tarbes 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 12811/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12811/06C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 13211/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2026-06-11La Teste De Buch?4th4th0
2026-05-11Tarbes?2nd2nd0
2026-04-11Bordeaux Le Bouscat?2nd2nd0
2026-03-10Bordeaux Le Bouscat?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0311/0411/0511/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength47%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/03/20265th16/116%43%+0.27
11/04/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
11/05/20262nd10/382%89%+0.06
11/06/20264th9/276%57%-0.19
11/07/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07