2
Hutton
6yo Gelding · 9-4
Les Sables · Prix Talmont Saint-hilaire Stakes · 1m 1f 152y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Pornichet | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Pornichet | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 19/12/2025 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 9% | -0.57 |
| 19/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |