IvyArcIvyArc
4

Linterprete

6yo Gelding · 8-11

Les Sables · Prix Talmont Saint-hilaire Stakes · 1m 1f 152y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 28/12/2023 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12328/12C5C5 @ Compiegne 10/03/2024 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12810/03C5C5 @ Pornichet 15/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 13015/12C5C5 @ Deauville 03/01/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1273/01C54 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1235/0644 @ Compiegne 16/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12316/074projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Compiegne48th8th0
2026-06-05Compiegne44th4th0
2025-01-03Deauville?11th12th−1
2024-12-15Pornichet?1st2nd−1
2024-03-10Compiegne?9th10th−1
2023-12-28Deauville?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1210/0315/123/015/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength31%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/12/20231st40/10%100%+1.00
10/03/20249th17/255%0%-0.55
15/12/20241st16/116%100%+0.84
03/01/202511th14/126%0%-0.26
05/06/20264th22/10%70%+0.70
16/07/20268th9/153%13%-0.40