7
Timea
4yo Filly · 8-8
Les Sables · Prix Talmont Saint-hilaire Stakes · 1m 1f 152y
#6
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength31%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 02/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 30/12/2025 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 28/04/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 21% | -0.39 |
| 19/05/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 88% | -0.07 |