1

Arven Glaz

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Les Sables · Prix Jobic Severe Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 152y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 30/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12830/01C5C5 @ Pornichet 27/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m99y Std 12827/02C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 21/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12821/03C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-21Lyon La Soie?7th7th0
2026-02-27Pornichet?7th7th0
2026-01-30Deauville?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0127/0221/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20267th66/10%60%+0.60
27/02/20267th20/10%57%+0.57
21/03/20267th25/10%45%+0.45