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7

Nova Du Chenet

3yo Filly · 8-12

Les Sables · Prix Jobic Severe Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 152y

#7

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pornichet 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m99y Std 12027/02C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1245/04C5C5 @ Chateaubriant 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 12424/05C5C0 @ Dieppe 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1259/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Dieppe?5th5th0
2026-05-24Chateaubriant?7th7th0
2026-04-05Le Lion D'angers?7th7th0
2026-02-27Pornichet?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/025/0424/059/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength24%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20268th18/15%50%+0.45
05/04/20267th9/153%45%-0.07
24/05/20267th5/174%45%-0.28
09/07/20265th22/10%60%+0.60