5
Orashi
3yo Filly · 8-12
Les Sables · Prix Jobic Severe Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 152y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cholet | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |