3
Le Sicilien
7yo Gelding · 9-4
Les Sables · Prix Alain De Montillet Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 152y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength5%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-14 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-28 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Nantes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-17 | Nantes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-22 | Nantes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-12-15 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2024 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 01/11/2024 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 10% | -0.64 |
| 13/11/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/12/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 22/05/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 17/06/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 28/07/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 14/08/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |