4
Punica
4yo Filly · 9-1
Les Sables · Prix Alain De Montillet Claiming Stakes · 1m 1f 152y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Pornichet | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-06-30 | Cholet | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/09/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |