1
Lakes Dancer
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Les Sables · Prix Le Pompier Maiden Stakes · 2m 198y
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2025-07-11 | Clairefontaine | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 06/06/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 11/07/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 24/04/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |