2

Magic Flight

6yo Gelding · 9-2

Les Sables · Prix Le Pompier Maiden Stakes · 2m 198y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

75%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +4.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 03/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f32y Hvy 1503/10C?C5 @ Nantes 09/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f90y Sft 128C0 @ Auteuil 03/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1533/05C?C0 @ Auteuil 27/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 151C0 @ Dieppe 19/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 15219/06C?C0 @ Dieppe 12/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 150C0 @ Dieppe 08/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f85y Ver 1508/08C?C0 @ Auteuil 09/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 152C0 @ Dieppe 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1581/06C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Dieppe?4th4th0
2025-10-02Compiegne?0
2025-09-09Auteuil?12th12th0
2025-08-08Dieppe?4th4th0
2025-07-12Dieppe?1st1st0
2025-06-19Dieppe?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1027/058/081/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength29%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/20247th7/163%40%-0.23
09/04/20258th13/266%46%-0.20
03/05/20252nd17/255%91%+0.36
27/05/20252nd8/158%93%+0.35
19/06/202510th11/486%40%-0.46
12/07/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
08/08/20254th2/189%57%-0.32
09/09/202512th9/276%27%-0.50
01/06/20264th10/147%50%+0.03