7
Marie Va
5yo Filly · 8-12
Les Sables · Prix Le Pompier Maiden Stakes · 2m 198y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-08 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-04-03 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-02-25 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-01-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-12-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/01/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 25/02/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 03/04/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 08/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 91% | +0.86 |