4
Plein Sud
5yo Gelding · 9-2
Les Sables · Prix Le Pompier Maiden Stakes · 2m 198y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Le Mans | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Fontainebleau | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 29/10/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 01/04/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |