1

Dashing Dick

8yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 70

Newmarket · Knight Frank East Anglia Apprentice Handicap · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best when able to lead, including when third at this course (7f) in June. However, unable to get to the front when fifth of 8 here (6f) 19 days ago and he might not get his own way in this race either. Switches back to cheekpieces on return to further.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 06/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 75 · 1m3y Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 75 par6/104OR 754 @ Yarmouth 21/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 75 · 7f3y GS 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 75 par4 @ Newmarket 01/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 6f GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 74 par1/114OR 744 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 77 par16/054OR 774 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 73 · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 73 par19/064OR 734 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 72 · 6f GF 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 72 par18/074OR 72projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Newmarket45th4th+1
2026-07-04Newmarket46th5th+1
2026-06-19Newmarket43rd2nd+1
2026-06-02Pontefract48th7th+1
2026-05-16Newmarket48th7th+1
2026-04-25Leicester47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1025/0419/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20253rd22/10%83%+0.83
21/10/20255th9/153%67%+0.14
01/11/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
25/04/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
16/05/20268th18/15%22%+0.17
02/06/20268th28/10%13%+0.13
19/06/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
04/07/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
18/07/20265th9/153%43%-0.10