Decalogue
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 69
Newmarket · Knight Frank East Anglia Apprentice Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Sandown | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Meydan | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |