6
Just Typical
5yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 62
Newmarket · Knight Frank East Anglia Apprentice Handicap · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newmarket | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 14/10/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 14% | -0.68 |
| 25/11/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |